News & Publications

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07/09/2019
Economic Publications

All Coface Publications

07/07/2019
Economic Publications

Political risks in Africa: the temperature is rising

Africa has seen a bevy of political events in recent months. After the deterioration of the security situation in the Sahel, as well as the forced departures of historical leaders from Algeria and Sudan via the streets, where will the political risks manifest in the second half of the year?

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07/04/2019
Economic Publications

Trade tensions return to the forefront of the global economy - Country and Sectors risks Barometer

The first part of 2019 was marked by the decline in world trade, which will decrease in volume over the year as a whole according to our forecasts (-0.7%), despite a slight recovery expected in the second half of 2019.

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07/03/2019
Economic Publications

Country risk assessment map - July 2019

New edition of the country risk map - April 2019. Consult, download and print the map of the 161 countries assessed by Coface.

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06/19/2019
Economic Publications

An unsure future for natural gas: How risks could derail the current boom

The energy industry is quickly evolving: as renewable energy sources increase in popularity compared to fossil fuels, their costs are plummeting. New forms of electricity conservation have recently become the focal point of widespread international attention, resulting in heavy investment and research. Furthermore, natural gas is increasingly losing its reputation as a cleaner energy source in the battle against climate change, as it pollutes more than renewable alternatives.

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06/18/2019
Economic Publications

Morocco Payment Survey 2019: Payment terms to remain long

During the first quarter of 2019, Coface conducted its fourth survey on businesses’ payment experience in Morocco. This survey aims to monitor the evolution of payment terms and delays. The payment behaviour reflects the evolution of both the economic situation and of the business environment.

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05/28/2019
Economic Publications

Corporate insolvencies in France: micro-entreprises in the wave's trough

During the first four months of 2019, the rate of corporate insolvencies in France increased by +0.8%. This rate was particularly high during January and February, mainly due to the repercussions of the "gilets jaunes" (yellow vests) movement; however, the increasing rate of insolvencies declined in March and April. Nonetheless, Coface anticipates that, despite resilient economic growth, insolvencies will increase by +1.7% over the whole of 2019.

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05/09/2019
Economic Publications

Luxury market performance in global economic downturns: is this time different?

The luxury market is unique, mainly due to the fact that its products are consumed for social distinction. This has helped companies in the segment to outperform other sector-segments over the past years. Nevertheless, the luxury market is facing important challenges, notably regarding counterfeit products, a risk for companies, and e-commerce, which is disrupting how business is conducted..

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04/09/2019
Economic Publications

Despite five years of "Modinomics", India continues to be constrained by economic fragilities

When Narendra Modi ran for Prime Minister in 2014, he pledged to boost the competitiveness of India’s industrial sector to promote growth. Five years later, the economy is in a better position, but many of the structural fragilities that Modi inherited continue to afflict India today.

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04/02/2019
Economic Publications

China Payment Survey 2019: Longer Delays as Growth Falters

The Chinese economy experienced some challenges in 2018. Corporate bond defaults in US dollars quadrupled, reaching an amount of USD 16 billion, while the number of bankruptcy cases settled through the Supreme Court of the People's Republic of China spiked to 6,646.

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04/02/2019
Economic Publications

Latin America: Brazil and Mexico's oil industries - opposite policies?

In the context of a global oil market that is likely to remain volatile, the two largest Latin American economies - Brazil and Mexico - are expected to implement significant changes in their energy policies in the medium term. Both countries have appointed new presidents in the last year following polarised elections: in Brazil the right-wing president Jair Bolsonaro took office in January 2019, while December 2018 saw the arrival of left-wing André Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO)1. Similarly, the two oil industries share two main common features: their state-owned companies have experienced significant financial and governance issues, and both countries are crude oil exporters and net oil derivative importers. Conversely, in terms of energy policies, they appear to be taking opposite directions.

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02/26/2019
Economic Publications

Turkey's economic slowdown continues, but exports offer some support

Turkey is experiencing a severe economic slowdown, coupled with a jump in inflation, as a result of the sharp depreciation of the lira during 2018.

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01/07/2019
Economic Publications

Tighter global liquidity and Asia: not all gloom and doom

Asia has been under pressure following from tighter global liquidity in 2018, led by a rapid pace of interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve (Fed) of the Unites States (US). Narrowing interest rate differentials have led to slimmer risk premiums for investors in Asian emerging markets (EMs).

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12/06/2018
Economic Publications

Corporate insolvencies in France: all good things come to an end

As this decline in French growth can chiefly be attributed to household consumption, sectors such as personal services, food retail, and automotive have been the most affected by the rebound in insolvencies.

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11/19/2018
Economic Publications

Could SMEs become the weak link in China’s economy?

When considering risk in the Chinese economy, a lot of the discussion has focused on large State-Owned Enterprises (SOEs), or large private conglomerates.

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11/06/2018
Economic Publications

Wind energy: how long will the wind stay in the industry’s sails?

Wind energy undoubtedly has a bright future, with many countries around the world eager to develop this source of power due to its affordable cost of production, its ease of use, and the abundance of wind.

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10/31/2018
Economic Publications

UAE: A new place in new world trade?

The United Arab Emirates (UAE) has the second largest and the most diversified economy in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC).

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10/17/2018
Economic Publications

A new deal of cards for emerging markets

The past quarter has been marked by a continued rise in oil prices and capital outflows from emerging markets, fuelling the depreciation of their currencies.

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10/17/2018
Economic Publications

Country Risk assessment map - 3rd quarter 2018

160 countries under the magnifying glass

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10/17/2018
Economic Publications

Sector risk assessments 3rd quarter 2018

13 major sectors assessed worldwide

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10/16/2018
Economic Publications

US Trade Protectionism: what are the knock-on effects on global value chains?

While policies to open up trade have been a standard feature since the creation of the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 1995, the 2008-2009 crisis proved a turning point.

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